Research

The Development Dichotomy

FDI’s Economic Impact

For my economic thesis paper at Belmont University, I conducted a study on the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on developing versus developed nations. The goal of this study was to understand the key factors that contribute to the growth of developing nations as compared developed ones. Using the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) categorizations, I divided a series of 80 nations between developed versus developing economies. I then conducted a series of multivariate regression equations, one using only developed nations, the other using developing nations, and the last using a pooled equation for both. My research revealed that foreign investments of $1 billion into a developing economy can increase national GDP by as much as a 0.16 percent. More importantly, these models indicated that increasing a country’s score on the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI) by 0.1 can result in a GDP increase of 1.2 percent for developing nations and 3.6 percent for developed nations. It’s important to note that increasing the HDI score for developed nations is unlikely, given that most of them have scores already at the upper limit of the index. Finally, it was also determined that an increase in property rights, based on The Heritage Foundation’s Property Rights Index, could result in as high as a 0.2 percent increase in GDP for developing nations. The results of this study ultimately determined FDI to have a net positive effect on developing economies and little to no effect on those already developed. Further, investment in human capital was found to be the most significant contributor to a developing nation’s ability to increase GDP. A dichotomy does in fact exist between developed and developing economies when it comes the power of foreign direct investment.

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