As part of a Comparative Economics course at Belmont University, I conducted an in-depth study on China’s economic expansion initiative known as the Belt & Road Project. The information collected in my research was compiled into a presentation and given to Belmont’s economics department. Using graphic design, I set out to tell the story of Chinese economic power play in a more vivid way so as to capture the audience’s attention and bring the content to life. The reality behind the story is quite straightforward: China is seeking to establish control over international trade routes using predatory lending practices aimed at developing nations. This initiative has been in progress for nearly a decade now and will have detrimental impacts on many nation’s fiscal security, as well as the ownership rights to some of the most critical routes of global trade.
Likely the most ambitious infrastructure project in history, China plans to invest between four and eight trillion dollars into developments across Europe, Asia, and Africa. Well over a trillion dollars has already been invested into this plan through roads, railways, and pipelines. This is only the beginning, as China has expressed plans for or is already underway on construction projects in over 68 countries, which are responsible for approximately 30 percent of global GDP.
President Xi Jinping has publicly stated his goal to “build an economic belt” as well as to construct a “new maritime silk road.” This so-called ‘belt’ consists of overland routes (roads, railways, pipelines, bridges, etc.) which can be subdivided into six connecting corridors that control the flow of trade between Asia and Europe. The ‘road’ involves a chain of seaports connecting the South China Sea to the world. These developments come with many benefits, such as cutting transit times between China and London in half. But they are not without their costs.
These projects are primarily targeted at developing economies in need of economic growth. China agrees to construct much needed infrastructure under the condition that only Chinese banks are used to finance the project and only Chinese construction companies are used for building it. Many of these projects cost as much as the countries’ entire GDP, leaving them with crippling debt. In Pakistan, for example, China is constructing a new port, highway, and railway network. Collectively these developments costs $62 billion, or 20 percent of Pakistan’s total GDP.
Because the costs of these infrastructure projects are so exorbitantly high, developing nations ultimately fail to repay China. This gives China the power to negotiate new terms. In multiple instances China has transferred foreign debt to equity by pushing for extended leases on the infrastructure they have built. This has led to Chinese ownership of ports, bridges, railways, and highways across the world, giving China control over key global trade routes. In Pakistan, for example, China now has a 40-year lease on the port it built in Gwadar. In Sri Lanka, it now has a 99-year lease on the port it built in Hambantota. China's goals don’t stop at trade, either. In Djibouti, China has built its first foreign military base only 8 miles from a US military base. This location is key for its strategy proximity to the Bab-el-Mandeb strait, a maritime chokepoint.
The United Nations and International Monetary Fund have both condemned China’s predatory lending practices, lack of transparency, and high interest rates. But these condemnations are useless against an economic superpower offering billions of dollars of investment to nations that are desperate for growth. To prevent China from gaining ownership of strategic trade and military locations, other world powers must work with developing nations to offer alternative loan options. With diplomacy failing to yield effective results and military intervention off the table, competing with China by offering a safer source of investment is the only foreseeable strategy.